Autonomous vehicles rely on accurate trajectory prediction to inform decision-making processes related to navigation and collision avoidance. However, current trajectory prediction models show signs of overfitting, which may lead to unsafe or suboptimal behavior. To address these challenges, this paper presents a comprehensive framework that categorizes and assesses the definitions and strategies used in the literature on evaluating and improving the robustness of trajectory prediction models. This involves a detailed exploration of various approaches, including data slicing methods, perturbation techniques, model architecture changes, and post-training adjustments. In the literature, we see many promising methods for increasing robustness, which are necessary for safe and reliable autonomous driving.

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Control Barrier Functions (CBFs) that provide formal safety guarantees have been widely used for safety-critical systems. However, it is non-trivial to design a CBF. Utilizing neural networks as CBFs has shown great success, but it necessitates their certification as CBFs. In this work, we leverage bound propagation techniques and the Branch-and - Bound scheme to efficiently verify that a neural network satisfies the conditions to be a CBF over the continuous state space. To accelerate training, we further present a framework that embeds the verification scheme into the training loop to synthesize and verify a neural CBF simultaneously. In partic-ular, we employ the verification scheme to identify partitions of the state space that are not guaranteed to satisfy the CBF conditions and expand the training dataset by incorporating additional data from these partitions. The neural network is then optimized using the augmented dataset to meet the CBF conditions. We show that for a non-linear control-affine system, our framework can efficiently certify a neural network as a CBF and render a larger safe set than state-of-the-art neural CBF works. We further employ our learned neural CBF to derive a safe controller to illustrate the practical use of our framework.

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In this paper, we present IntervalMDP.jl, a Julia package for probabilistic analysis of interval Markov Decision Processes (IMDPs). IntervalMDP.jl facilitates the synthesis of optimal strategies and verification of IMDPs against reachability specifications and discounted reward properties. The library supports sparse matrices and is compatible with data formats from common tools for the analysis of probabilistic models, such as PRISM. A key feature of IntervalMDP.jl is that it presents both a multi-threaded CPU and a GPU-accelerated implementation of value iteration algorithms for IMDPs. In particular, IntervalMDP.jl takes advantage of the Julia type system and the inherently parallelizable nature of value iteration to improve the efficiency of performing analysis of IMDPs. On a set of examples, we show that IntervalMDP.jl substantially outperforms existing tools for verification and strategy synthesis for IMDPs in both computation time and memory consumption.@en

This paper proposes a new framework to compute finite-horizon safety guarantees for discrete-time piece-wise affine systems with stochastic noise of unknown distributions. The approach is based on a novel approach to synthesise a stochastic barrier function (SBF) from noisy data and rely on the scenario optimization theory. In particular, we show that the stochastic program to synthesize a SBF can be relaxed into a chance-constrained optimisation problem on which scenario approach theory applies. We further show that the resulting program can be reduced to a linear programming problem, thus guaranteeing efficiency. In contrast to existing approaches, this method is data efficient as it only requires the number of data to be proportional to the logarithm in the negative inverse of the confidence level and is computationally efficient due to its reduction to linear programming. The efficacy of the method is empirically evaluated on various verification benchmarks. Experiments show a significant improvement with respect to state-of-the-art, obtaining tighter certificates with a confidence that is several orders of magnitude higher. @en

Providing non-trivial certificates of safety for non-linear stochastic systems is an important open problem. One promising solution to address this problem is the use of barrier functions. Barrier functions are functions whose composition with the system forms a Martingale and enable the computation of the probability that the system stays within a safe set over a finite time horizon. However, existing approaches to find barrier functions generally restrict the search to a small class of functions, often leading to conservatism. To address this problem, in this letter, we parameterize barrier functions as neural networks and show that bound propagation techniques and linear programming can be successfully employed to find Neural Barrier Functions. Further, we develop a branch-and-bound scheme based on linear relaxations that improves the scalability of the proposed framework. On several case studies we show that our approach scales to neural networks of hundreds of neurons and multiple hidden layers and often produces certificates of safety that are tighter than state-of-the-art methods.@en