GB

G.N.J.C. Bierkens

48 records found

Authored

This paper introduces the boomerang sampler as a novel class of continuous-time non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. The methodology begins by representing the target density as a density, e(−U), with respect to a prescribed (usually) Gaussian measure and construct ...

Suppose X is a multidimensional diffusion process. Assume that at time zero the state of X is fully observed, but at time 0$ ]]> only linear combinations of its components are observed. That is, one only observes the vector for a given matrix L. In this paper we show how sa ...

Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration. There have been a number of approximate MCMC algorithms that use sub-sampling ideas to reduce this computational burden, but with the drawback that these algo ...
The zigzag process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process which can be used in aMCMC framework to sample from a given target distribution. We prove the convergence of this process to its target under very weak assumptions, and establish a central limit theorem for empirical ...

Recently, there have been conceptually new developments in Monte Carlo methods through the introduction of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has led to some fundamentally n ...

Piecewise Deterministic Monte Carlo algorithms enable simulation from a posterior distribution, whilst only needing to access a sub-sample of data at each iteration. We show how they can be implemented in settings where the parameters live on a restricted domain.

@en

In Turitsyn, Chertkov and Vucelja [Phys. D 240 (2011) 410-414] a nonreversible Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method on an augmented state space was introduced, here referred to as Lifted Metropolis-Hastings (LMH). A scaling limit of the magnetization process in the Curie-Wei ...

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide an essential tool in statistics for sampling from complex probability distributions. While the standard approach to MCMC involves constructing discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernel is obtained via the Metrop ...

Contributed

Safe hypothesis tests are tests that are robust under accumulation bias, namely when there are dependencies between the results of previous studies and the decision whether to conduct further studies. We construct two types of safe test for the 2 × 2 contingency table, the condit ...
The primary goal of this report is to provide a general overview of offline change-point literature as it is known today. Change-point methods are important statistical problems, where we are interested in determining whenever a certain data-set changes in structure. Furthermore, ...
Model-based evolutionary algorithms (MBEAs) are praised for their broad applicability to black-box optimization problems. In practical applications however, they are mostly used to repeatedly optimize different instances of a single problem class, a setting in which specialized a ...
This thesis discusses and compares methods which try to approximate the assymptotic variance.
During a digital fraud investigation the search for relevant information in mailboxes of custodians is like finding a needle in a haystack. This time consuming task can, on various levels, be improved and made more efficient. Technology Assisted Review (TAR) is already one of the ...
In this thesis we study the use of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs), such as the Zig-Zag process and the Bouncy Particle Sampler, in rare event probability estimation. We introduce both processes and illustrate how the methods work. To estimate the rare event prob ...
Semi-supervised algorithms have been shown to possibly have a worse performance than the corresponding supervised model. This may be due to a violation of the assumptions on the data that are introduced in most classification systems. We study an approach that was previously show ...
We study the flow of supercurrents between two superconducting contacts connected by a 2d layer of graphene. We use a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to find Andreev bound states for circular electron trajectories. Using sample trajectories we estimate the currents as function of ...

Jobfeed alarm system

Applying change point detection and a particle filter to a random walk

Jobfeed is an online database containing all vacancies posted on the internet. The database obtains this data through a process called spidering. The data is collected by visiting web pages and extracting vacancies from these pages, using machine learning techniques. In the proce ...
In recent years, the offshore wind industry has grown significantly. The wind turbines are constructed in wind farms, and are serviced with relatively small crew transfer vessels. These vessels transport repair crews from the mainland to the farms and back within a day. One of th ...

Efficient Inference with Panel Data

On the pass-through of the Dutch 2001 and 2012 VAT increases to consumer prices

This thesis evaluates the pass-through of the 2001 and 2012 Dutch Value Added Tax (VAT) increases to customer prices using a difference-in-differences model. To this end, the first difference and feasible generalised least squares estimators are introduced. Contrary to the conven ...
In this report the method of Markov chain Monte Carlo maximum
likelihood estimation was used to estimate parameters in the Ising model
and the exponential random graph model. The method and the models
where described mathematically and problems that occurred during th ...