This thesis explores the future of the solar mounting industry by constructing and assessing four product-scenarios. The goal was to assess how these scenarios could influence the development of a climate neutral solar mounting product by 2040.

• Standardized Mass Energy (SME): This scenario envisions a future where solar energy systems are mass-produced and standardized to efficiently meet global energy demands. The focus is on uniform, large-scale, high-efficiency solar mounting products that can be deployed rapidly. Governments and large corporations drive this scenario, prioritizing speed and efficiency in installation, while achieving climate neutral products by application of green steel.
If international cooperation remains strong and the focus on large-scale infrastructure continues. Stakeholder assessment indicates that this scenario is possible due to current market trends favouring scalability and cost-efficiency. But consolidation might eliminate their margins.
• Circular Energy (CE): This scenario prioritizes sustainability through a reuse-system for solar panels, aligning with the circular economy principles. Solar mounting services create modular, reusable systems, being climate neutral in prioritising reuse and minimising green steel production. The spatial arrangement alternates solar with green roofs and urban gardens, promoting local energy distribution. While this scenario is desirable, it faces challenges in market acceptance and requires significant shifts in political and economic frameworks. Stakeholder assessment suggests elements of this scenario could unfold, if there is a strong policy push towards circular economy from society.
• Scramble for Energy (SfE): This scenario envisions a chaotic and competitive market driven by geopolitical tensions and the need for energy security. Solar products vary in quality, with customers prioritizing affordability and speed over sustainability, leaving no securance of a climate neutral product. The spatial arrangement is also chaotic, leaving no room for nature, due to the pressures of energy scarcity and instability. The stakeholder assessment reveals that this scenario is highly likely in the near future, particularly if global energy markets become more fragmented and nations keep prioritising self-sufficiency over collaboration.
• Power to People (PtP): This scenario focuses on social equity, with solar energy being distributed to balance industry and citizen needs. With international failure in climate action, the emphasis is on domestic production and local community empowerment. Solar installations are integrated with multifunctional benefits as climate adaption or water-management, creating collective responsibility. While this scenario is highly desirable for sales, it demands significant restructuring of industry practices and societal norms. Stakeholder assessment indicates this scenario could unfold (after SfE has,) if there develops a societal movement towards communal energy equality and local wealth, supported by progressive policies.

The scenarios provided for a roadmap construction for the solar mounting company Sunbeam. By understanding potential futures, Sunbeam can strategically navigate the evolving mounting industry, balancing immediate product-demands with product interventions inspired by a long-term climate neutral vision. The roadmap allows Sunbeam to lead with a strategy of collaborations and products that stimulate envisioned system development.