Background and Objectives
More than 200 genetic variants have been associated with multiple sclerosis (MS) susceptibility. However, it is unclear to what extent genetic factors influence lifetime risk of MS. Using a population-based birth-year cohort, we investigate the effect of genetics on lifetime risk of MS.

Methods
In the Project Y study, we tracked down almost all persons with MS (pwMS) from birth year 1966 in the Netherlands. As control participants, we included non-MS participants from the Project Y cohort (born 1965–1967 in the Netherlands) and non-MS participants from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort born between 1963 and 1969. Genetic variants associated with MS were determined in pwMS and control participants using genotyping or imputation methods. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) based on variants and weights from the largest genetic study in MS were calculated for each participant and assigned into deciles based on the PRS distribution in the control participants. We examined the lifetime risk for each decile and the association between PRS and MS disease variables, including age at onset and time to secondary progression.

Results
MS-PRS was calculated for 285 pwMS (mean age 53.0 ± 0.9 years, 72.3% female) and 267 control participants (mean age 51.8 ± 3.2 years, 58.1% female). Based on the lifetime risk estimation, we observed that 1:2,739 of the women with the lowest 30% genetic risk developed MS, whereas 1:92 of the women with the top 10% highest risk developed MS. For men, only 1:7,900 developed MS in the lowest 30% genetic risk group, compared with 1:293 men with the top 10% genetic risk. The PRS was not significantly associated with age at onset and time to secondary progression in both sexes.

Discussion
Our results show that the lifetime risk of MS is strongly influenced by genetic factors. Our findings have the potential to support diagnostic certainty in individuals with suspected MS: a high PRS could strengthen a diagnosis, but especially a PRS from the lowest tail of the PRS distribution should be considered a red flag and could prevent misdiagnosing conditions that mimic MS.@en

Background
Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) have identified 86 SNPs associated with Alzheimer’s disease (AD). GWAS-SNPs are markers of genetic variation in linkage disequilibrium (LD), which may drive the association with AD. One major class of genetic variation are Structural Variants (SVs), which can regulate transcription and translation of nearby genes. Here, we explored the interplay between large SVs (>50 bp) and AD-associated SNPs.

Method
We performed long-read whole-genome sequencing of 214 individuals representing the extreme ends of the cognitive spectrum: N = 93 AD patients (age 67.2∓8.5), and N = 121 cognitively healthy centenarians (age 101.2∓1.8). We identified SVs using sniffles2 genome-wide, further characterised them through (local) de novo assembly, and annotated tandem repeats (TR) and transposable elements (TE). Next, we estimated LD between SVs and 86 AD-associated GWAS-SNPs, Finally, we compared SNP frequencies and SV sizes between AD cases and centenarians using logistic regression models.

Result
Across all 214 individuals, we found >27,404 SVs (>50 bp), with a Minor Allele Frequency (MAF) ≥ 5%. Most SVs were TRs (63%), followed by TEs (37%). We found that 37 AD GWAS-SNPs paired with 90 SVs in low to strong LD (R2 > 0.1), 56 of which involved SNP-TR pairs (62%) and 34 involved SNP-TE pairs (38%). In six AD loci, the SVs associated more strongly with AD risk than the leading GWAS-SNP (p < 0.05). This includes ADAM10, CTSH, SLC2A4RG, CD2AP, SPI1, and IDUA, which were encompassed by complex haplotypes harbouring multiple TRs and TEs.

Conclusion
Our findings provide the first support for SVs as candidate-drivers of the association between respective GWAS loci with AD risk. Hence, SVs may lead to increased effect sizes.@en