The prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) is a critical component of prognostic and health management for industrial systems. In recent decades, there has been a surge of interest in RUL prediction based on degradation data of a well-defined degradation index (DI). However, in many real-world applications, the DI may not be readily available and must be constructed from complex source data, rendering many existing methods inapplicable. Motivated by multivariate sensor data from industrial induction motors, this paper proposes a novel prognostic framework that develops a nonlinear DI, serving as an ensemble of representative features, and employs a similarity-based method for RUL prediction. The proposed framework enables online prediction of RUL by dynamically updating information from the in-service unit. Simulation studies and a case study on three-phase industrial induction motors demonstrate that the proposed framework can effectively extract reliability information from various channels and predict RUL with high accuracy.@en

Simulations are often used to investigate the flow structures and system dynamics of complex natural phenomena and systems, which are significantly harder to obtain from experiments or theoretical analyses. Surrogate models are employed to mimic the results of simulations by reducing computational costs. In order to reduce the amount of computational time consumed, a novel framework for building efficient surrogate models is proposed in this work. The novelty lies in that the new framework runs simulations using the different simulation time spans for different inputs and builds a comprehensive surrogate model through the fusion of non-homogeneous spatio-temporal data by integrating the temporal and spatial correlations in parametric space. This differs from the existing works in the literature, which only consider the situation of spatio-temporal data with a consistent time span during simulations under different inputs. Some simulation studies and real data analysis concerning the pollution of the river in the Sichuan Province of China are used to demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed methods.

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