Modal shift from air to rail
Towards a climate neutral transport sector in the EU. a backcasting analysis
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Abstract
in this study a backcasting analysis is performed to formulate interventions pathways that lead to the vision of making the train the main mode of passenger transportation within Europe in 2050. The vision is formulated based on goals of the European Union and the pathways are formulated based on input from experts gathered by conducting semi-structured interviews.
The key findings are that first the aviation has to be targeted and made less attractive for the train to become the main mode. Furthermore, the experts indicated that the vision formulated is hard to reach because of the barriers that exist for the construction of new rail infrastructure.