Understanding the propagation of a flood is crucial for effective emergency response measures. While traditional numerical models provide reliable flood simulations, their high computational costs pose significant limitations during emergencies. Deep learning models have recently
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Understanding the propagation of a flood is crucial for effective emergency response measures. While traditional numerical models provide reliable flood simulations, their high computational costs pose significant limitations during emergencies. Deep learning models have recently demonstrated potential in accelerating hydrological calculations while preserving high accuracy. Although various deep learning flood models have been developed, many are limited to specific case studies or neglect the dynamic propagation of flood waves, constraining their application during emergencies. To address this, Bentivoglio et al., 2023 proposes the use of a physics-based surrogate model for spatio-temporal flood modelling; the shallow water equation graph neural network (SWE-GNN). The model demonstrates promising results on small virtual landscapes, showcasing strong generalizability to unseen breach locations and domains, while achieving computational speed ups. In this research, the real-world applicability of the SWE-GNN for time-sensitive situations is analyzed. Two dike rings in the Netherlands are selected as our case study areas. The model is trained and tested within the same domain to evaluate its application during a crisis. Performance is assessed using statistical metrics and practical evaluations, including direct and indirect damage models. The SWE-GNN model is able to correctly predict the spatio-temporal evolution of floods for unseen breach locations. The mean average errors in time are of 0.027 m and 0.029 m for water depth and of 0.007 m^2/s and 0.006 m^2/s on units discharge. The resulting flood maps prove viable for practical applicability, presenting good results for both direct as indirect damage assessment. Additionally, the SWE-GNN demonstrates a speedup of roughly 5 to 6 times for the test case areas compared to a traditional numerical model. In this project, we affirm that the SWE-GNN represents a promising innovation for a new approach to time-sensitive flood modeling, providing a reliable alternative to numerical models in situations with time constraints.