The pivotal sector of transportation has shown signs of a surge in demand. The European Union projects a 42% increase in passenger transport from 2019 until 2050. Policymakers and stakeholders must collaborate to address the increasing transportation demand while considering environmental, societal, and economic benefits Despite efforts to mitigate emissions, the transportation sector has not achieved substantial reductions. The emergence of Hyperloop technology presents a disruptive solution that could address this transportation challenge in Europe. It has been pursued as a viable alternative to air travel, rail, and traditional forms of transportation due to its affordability, sustainability, and rapid speeds of up to 1200 km/h. Even though Hyperloop is a promising alternative in the transportation sector, the technology is still largely in development. There are multi-dimensional considerations in understanding whether the Hyperloop will become a mainstream transport option for passengers and whether the conflicting objectives will result in an efficient Hyperloop network. A knowledge gap was identified with a lack of studies to explore the relationship between the network design objectives and the network design itself.
In order to identify the impacts of the Hyperloop network design in the global transportation sector, a literature review was conducted on the transformative potential of the Hyperloop. Key strengths were identified as a reduction in travel times and low operational emissions. On the other hand, the high capital resources required and the uncertainty around the safety of technology were the main points of criticism. In order to analyze the potential demand for Hyperloop and model the modal shift, a Multi- Nominal Logit was employed where a utility function was formulated for the total benefit passengers receive upon completing a trip. The key attributes for the utility function were selected as travel time, travel costs, number of transfers, and safety perception, in alignment with previous studies on the subjects. A utility-based probabilistic mode choice was determined for the available demand. A multi-objective optimization problem was formulated for the facility-location network design of Hyperloop.
The decision variables of the model were formulated as the decision to open a Hyperloop hub at a location and the decision to build infrastructure between the selected Hyperloop hubs. The model output is an alternate network optimized for four different objective functions. These objectives are determined to be (1) Utility Maximization, (2) Probability of Purchase Maximization, (3) Emission Minimization, and (4) Revenue Maximization as these factors were determined to be key performance indicators in a prospective Hyperloop network. The model aims to provide the decision-makers with an overview of the trade-offs involved with varying objective criteria considered in the network generation.
A case study was created to test the model within Europe. The main aim of the case study is to assess the economic and environmental impacts of the Hyperloop system and provide recommendations to policymakers regarding the conception of the Hyperloop network within the European Union. The case study employs the NUTS classification and excludes European countries where the demand data is incomplete and focuses on countries within the TEN-T network. Furthermore, three categories of experimental scenarios were set up to assess the sensitivity of the model to parameter values. The categories are (1) pricing strategy scenarios, (2) safety perception scenarios and (3) policy intervention scenarios. The findings reveal significant disparities in network characteristics based on different objective criteria. The Utility Maximization objective focuses on maximizing trip utility, leading to a network design with direct links between hubs, resulting in compact networks and lower infrastructure costs. However, Spain and Italy have lower priority in this design. On the other hand, the other three objectives (probability of purchase maximization, emission minimization, and revenue maximization) yield networks with a minimum-spanning tree pattern. These networks outperform the utility maximization network in terms of attracting passengers, reducing emissions, and economic performance. To maximize societal benefits, it is recommended to prioritize the remaining three objectives. The study finds that Hyperloop becomes more competitive for longer-distance trips. Experimentation with ticket prices, safety perception, and policy interventions demonstrates their influence on modal share, revenue stability, and carbon emissions. Higher ticket prices discourage Hyperloop usage, safety perception plays a crucial role, and policies discouraging short-haul flights result in higher Hyperloop modal share and lower emissions. These findings highlight the importance of considering ticket prices, safety perception, and strategic policies to promote sustainable transportation and reduce carbon emissions through a modal shift to Hyperloop.
Future research opportunities include expanding the utility function to incorporate additional attributes affecting mode choices, exploring modal shifts from other modes to Hyperloop, relaxing assumptions about geographical obstacles and hub locations, integrating strategic and tactical planning, and validating the model with a broader range of origin-destination pairs. Computational performance can be enhanced using meta-heuristics to compare different heuristics for network outputs and efficiency.