Quantitative Assessment of Risk Caused by Domino Accidents

Book chapter (2013)

Authors

Valerio Cozzani University of Bologna
Giacomo Antonioni University of Bologna
N. Khakzad Rostami , Memorial University of Newfoundland
Faisal Khan Memorial University of Newfoundland
J.R. Taveau Fike Corporation, Fluid Mechanics - Mechanical, Maritime and Materials Engineering
G.L.L.M.E. Reniers Katholieke Universiteit Leuven,
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Published Date

01-01-2013

Language

English

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Abstract

The complexity of domino scenarios represented a considerable obstacle to the quantitative assessment of risk posed by escalation events. In the present chapter, the state of the art concerning quantitative approaches proposed for the assessment of risk caused by domino accidents is summarized. A procedure for the quantitative risk assessment of domino accidents, suitable for the calculation of individual and societal risk indexes, is outlined. Alternative approaches proposed for the quantitative assessment of domino effects, based on Bayesian techniques and Monte Carlo simulations, are also described.