Description of Ultra-High wind-wave-solar hindcast models

Abstract

Renewable energy project require long term climate information, offshore renewable energies in particular are in need of higher fidelity information as both power production, reliability and survivability rely on them. Existing open source datasets are too coarse, and often do not have the suitable physics based solutions to resolve high fidelity areas.

While for power production different datasets may be needed wind speeds, solar radiation, ambient temperature, metocean conditions, the common thread is that all information provided by often open source free dataset carry large deviations that can be catastrophic or under-estimate power production significantly.

This deliverable aims to bridge the gap and offer the EU-SCORES project three custom models wind, solar, wave and are then used for ultra high-fidelity assessment (sub 500m). The physical parametrisation are specifically calibrated with the need of EU-SCORES, and the models are intensively validated against in-situ and satellite information. This report describes the different models used for the construction of the open-source databases for wind-wave-solar information, from 1990-2021. All models have been developed, calibrated and validated against in-situ measurements, providing with the uncertainty levels for the hindcasts.