Focusing on differences across scenarios could lead to bad adaptation policy advice

Journal article (2021)

Authors

B.A. Jafino Policy Analysis - TPM
Stephane Hallegatte The World Bank
Julie Rozenberg The World Bank
Research Group
Policy Analysis (TPM) (TU Delft)
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Published Date

2021

Language

English

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Faculty

Technology, Policy and Management

Department

Multi Actor Systems

Research Group

Policy Analysis

Abstract

As development and adaptation are closely intertwined, assessing the benefits of adaptation by focusing only on how it reduces climate impacts could lead to misleading policy advice. In some cases, trying to minimize climate impacts could lead to inferior outcomes. It is preferable to explore how policies influence the absolute level of metrics of interest in scenarios with climate change rather than to focus on how they influence incremental climate impacts.

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