Validation in the classical model

Cooke, RM

Validation in the classical model

Book chapter (2018)

Authors

RM Cooke Resources for the Future, Applied Probability -

Research Group

Applied Probability () (TU Delft)

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Published Date

2018

Language

English

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Faculty

Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science

Department

Delft Institute of Applied Mathematics

Research Group

Applied Probability

Abstract

Validation is the hallmark of science. For expert judgment to contribute to science-based uncertainty quantification, it must become amenable to empirical validation. Using data in which experts quantify uncertainty on variables from their fields whose true values are known post hoc, this chapter explains how validation is performed in the Classical Model for structured expert judgment and reviews results for different combination methods.

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