Concept of robust climate-friendly flight planning under multiple climate impact estimates

Concept of robust climate-friendly flight planning under multiple climate impact estimates

Simorgh, A. (TU Delft Aircraft Noise and Climate Effects; Carlos III University of Madrid)
Soler, Manuel (Carlos III University of Madrid)
Castino, F. (TU Delft Aircraft Noise and Climate Effects)
Yin, F. (TU Delft Aircraft Noise and Climate Effects)
Cerezo Magana, M. (TU Delft Air Transport & Operations; Carlos III University of Madrid)

2024

The spatiotemporal dependency of aviation-induced non-CO₂ climate effects can be incorporated into flight planning tools to generate climate-friendly flight plans. However, estimating climate impact is challenging and associated with high uncertainty. To ensure the effectiveness of such an operational measure, sources that induce uncertainty need to be identified and considered when planning climate-aware trajectories. The mismatch between different assessments of climate impact is an important indicator of uncertainty. This study introduces a concept aimed at planning robust climate-optimized aircraft trajectories under multiple climate impact estimates. The objective is to generate climate-optimal trajectories that achieve mitigation potential consistent with all available assessments. Case studies show that, even when there is a significant discrepancy between input models in specific regions, the proposed approach can effectively generate trajectories to mitigate the climate impact with a high level of confidence.

Aircraft trajectory optimization
Aviation-induced non-CO climate effects
Climate change
Multiple climate impact estimates
Robust optimization

http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:385884cb-3d30-4655-b571-140d67e294b8

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2024.104215

1361-9209

Transportation Research. Part D: Transport & Environment, 131

Institutional Repository

journal article

© 2024 A. Simorgh, Manuel Soler, F. Castino, F. Yin, M. Cerezo Magana